1. The administration has not come forward with a single piece of concrete evidence to support the claim that the Iranian government has been involved in the training, arming or advising of Iraqi Shiite militias.
2. The U.S. intelligence community has not endorsed the argument being made by some in the Bush administration that the Iranian government was responsible for the rise in Shiite military activity in Iraq.
3. The main argument made in the February 11, 2007 briefing for an Iranian official role in providing EFPs to Shiite militias — the allegation that only Iran had the capability to manufacture EFPs or components for EFPs that can penetrate U.S. armor — was quickly proven to be untrue.
4. U.S. and British Military officers and civilian officials have expressed doubt that EFPs and other armaments in the hands of Shiites have actually come from Iran or that Iranian Quds force personnel have been involved in the supply.
5. The Quds Force of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, which the administration has claimed is the instrument of the alleged Iranian “proxy war” in Iraq, has apparently been withdrawn from Iraq.
6. There is a substantial body of evidence that the Hezbollah in Lebanon — not Iran — has been the main source, if not the only source, of EFPs and other weapon used by Shiite militias in 2006 and 2007.
Read the entire piece for elaborations on each point.
Irancove @ September 28, 2007